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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.44+1.81vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.36+2.69vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.39+1.59vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.28-0.90vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.26+0.68vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.40-3.11vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-0.28-1.23vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-0.79-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81University of Michigan1.440.3%1st Place
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4.69Northwestern University0.360.1%1st Place
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4.59University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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3.1University of Michigan1.280.2%1st Place
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5.68University of Toledo-0.260.0%1st Place
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2.89University of Michigan1.400.2%1st Place
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5.77University of Illinois-0.280.0%1st Place
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6.46University of Chicago-0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Gerber | 26.3% | 22.2% | 20.8% | 15.0% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Margot Murray | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 19.2% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 7.7% |
| Cailin Oakes | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 6.5% |
| Connor Goulet | 21.7% | 20.9% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Brian Pribe | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 23.1% | 20.4% |
| Austin Haag | 23.5% | 23.4% | 21.0% | 15.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 21.1% | 24.5% |
| Bay Hodge | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 22.1% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.