← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.28+2.03vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan1.40+0.92vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan1.44-0.14vs Predicted
-
4University of Minnesota0.39+0.65vs Predicted
-
5University of Toledo-0.26+0.72vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University0.36-1.39vs Predicted
-
7University of Illinois-0.28-1.23vs Predicted
-
8University of Chicago-0.79-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.03University of Michigan1.280.2%1st Place
-
2.92University of Michigan1.400.2%1st Place
-
2.86University of Michigan1.440.3%1st Place
-
4.65University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
-
5.72University of Toledo-0.260.0%1st Place
-
4.61Northwestern University0.360.1%1st Place
-
5.77University of Illinois-0.280.0%1st Place
-
6.44University of Chicago-0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Goulet | 22.4% | 22.7% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Austin Haag | 23.5% | 24.1% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Colton Gerber | 25.9% | 21.0% | 22.1% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Cailin Oakes | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 7.2% |
| Brian Pribe | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 22.7% | 20.5% |
| Margot Murray | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 7.4% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 20.1% | 24.7% |
| Bay Hodge | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 15.5% | 22.5% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.