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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.40+2.23vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.28+1.50vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.93-0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.44-0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.26+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota0.39-1.09vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-0.28-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-0.79-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of Michigan1.400.2%1st Place
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3.5University of Michigan1.280.2%1st Place
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2.51Northwestern University1.930.3%1st Place
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3.26University of Michigan1.440.2%1st Place
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5.96University of Toledo-0.260.0%1st Place
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4.91University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Illinois-0.280.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Chicago-0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Haag | 18.0% | 20.7% | 19.5% | 18.3% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Connor Goulet | 15.4% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 20.2% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 31.5% | 25.0% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Colton Gerber | 18.7% | 20.0% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Brian Pribe | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 19.0% | 26.5% | 22.2% |
| Cailin Oakes | 7.6% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 19.8% | 19.2% | 15.0% | 8.2% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 20.0% | 22.4% | 26.5% |
| Bay Hodge | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 15.0% | 24.8% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.