← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.40+2.29vs Predicted
-
2University of Minnesota0.39+3.10vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University1.93-0.42vs Predicted
-
4University of Toledo-0.26+2.08vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan1.44-1.72vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University0.23-0.72vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan1.28-3.37vs Predicted
-
8University of Chicago-0.79-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.29University of Michigan1.400.2%1st Place
-
5.1University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
-
2.58Northwestern University1.930.3%1st Place
-
6.08University of Toledo-0.260.0%1st Place
-
3.28University of Michigan1.440.2%1st Place
-
5.28Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
-
3.63University of Michigan1.280.2%1st Place
-
6.76University of Chicago-0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Haag | 19.1% | 19.1% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Cailin Oakes | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 21.3% | 18.5% | 9.3% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 30.7% | 24.6% | 20.0% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Brian Pribe | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 26.5% | 27.2% |
| Colton Gerber | 17.5% | 20.8% | 18.5% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Susan Riley | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 18.8% | 12.7% |
| Connor Goulet | 16.1% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Bay Hodge | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 11.9% | 23.4% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.