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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.39+3.21vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.28+0.91vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.44-0.34vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.26+1.29vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-0.28+0.35vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.40-3.32vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-0.79-0.89vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.36-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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2.91University of Michigan1.280.2%1st Place
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2.66University of Michigan1.440.3%1st Place
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5.29University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Illinois-0.280.0%1st Place
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2.68University of Michigan1.400.3%1st Place
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6.11University of Chicago-0.790.0%1st Place
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6.78Northwestern University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cailin Oakes | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 20.3% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
| Connor Goulet | 21.5% | 24.6% | 20.9% | 16.1% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Colton Gerber | 27.5% | 23.7% | 22.2% | 14.2% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Brian Pribe | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 17.1% | 21.5% | 20.2% | 10.9% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 19.4% | 21.7% | 18.7% | 11.8% |
| Austin Haag | 27.3% | 24.0% | 21.3% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Bay Hodge | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 27.0% | 26.6% |
| Jonathan Atler | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 13.4% | 22.4% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.