← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.28+1.82vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan1.40+0.72vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan1.44-0.35vs Predicted
-
4University of Minnesota0.39+0.30vs Predicted
-
5University of Toledo-0.26+0.31vs Predicted
-
6University of Chicago-0.79+0.08vs Predicted
-
7University of Illinois-0.28-1.64vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University-1.36-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.82University of Michigan1.280.2%1st Place
-
2.72University of Michigan1.400.2%1st Place
-
2.65University of Michigan1.440.3%1st Place
-
4.3University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
-
5.31University of Toledo-0.260.0%1st Place
-
6.08University of Chicago-0.790.0%1st Place
-
5.36University of Illinois-0.280.0%1st Place
-
6.76Northwestern University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Goulet | 24.9% | 22.6% | 21.2% | 16.0% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Austin Haag | 25.0% | 26.1% | 20.4% | 15.0% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Colton Gerber | 28.0% | 23.3% | 23.0% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Cailin Oakes | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 19.0% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 9.2% | 3.2% |
| Brian Pribe | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 20.7% | 20.4% | 10.3% |
| Bay Hodge | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 24.9% | 26.5% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 21.5% | 18.0% | 13.8% |
| Jonathan Atler | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 13.1% | 24.3% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.