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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.44+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.40+0.72vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.28-0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.39+0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.79+1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-0.28-0.71vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.36-0.16vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-0.26-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61University of Michigan1.440.3%1st Place
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2.72University of Michigan1.400.3%1st Place
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2.88University of Michigan1.280.2%1st Place
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4.3University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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6.12University of Chicago-0.790.0%1st Place
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5.29University of Illinois-0.280.1%1st Place
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6.84Northwestern University-1.360.0%1st Place
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5.23University of Toledo-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Gerber | 27.8% | 26.3% | 20.7% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Austin Haag | 25.8% | 25.2% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Connor Goulet | 23.4% | 20.7% | 24.2% | 16.0% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Cailin Oakes | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 20.2% | 16.1% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Bay Hodge | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 11.7% | 19.2% | 27.9% | 24.4% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 20.8% | 19.8% | 11.2% |
| Jonathan Atler | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 11.0% | 21.0% | 51.3% |
| Brian Pribe | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 20.0% | 21.6% | 18.3% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.