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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.40+1.68vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.44+0.69vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-0.28+2.30vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.28-1.11vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.79+1.09vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-0.26-0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota0.39-2.71vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.36-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68University of Michigan1.400.3%1st Place
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2.69University of Michigan1.440.3%1st Place
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5.3University of Illinois-0.280.0%1st Place
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2.89University of Michigan1.280.2%1st Place
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6.09University of Chicago-0.790.0%1st Place
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5.27University of Toledo-0.260.0%1st Place
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4.29University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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6.78Northwestern University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Haag | 26.7% | 24.7% | 20.7% | 15.8% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Colton Gerber | 26.7% | 24.9% | 21.2% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Audrey DeBruine | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 20.9% | 11.6% |
| Connor Goulet | 23.4% | 21.1% | 22.3% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Bay Hodge | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 25.6% | 25.8% |
| Brian Pribe | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 21.7% | 18.0% | 11.4% |
| Cailin Oakes | 9.8% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% |
| Jonathan Atler | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 13.5% | 22.4% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.