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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+0.42vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-1.66+3.63vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-1.22+1.82vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.13-0.80vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.72-0.96vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.96-1.57vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.79-1.17vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-2.41-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42University of Michigan1.700.7%1st Place
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5.63University of Chicago-1.660.0%1st Place
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4.82University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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3.2University of Minnesota-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.04University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.43Northwestern University-0.960.1%1st Place
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5.83Northwestern University-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Michigan-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 68.9% | 22.1% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuan Yin | 2.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 22.4% | 18.0% |
| Kristen Ruta | 4.4% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 6.9% |
| Bailey Adkins | 10.1% | 27.8% | 25.7% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Max Ellsworth | 5.9% | 14.1% | 21.0% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Cuyler Dull | 5.0% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 18.3% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 5.3% |
| Emily Vogt | 2.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 23.5% | 22.3% |
| Patrick Ryan | 0.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 20.5% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.