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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+0.43vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-1.66+3.62vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.96+1.44vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.13-0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.72-0.95vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.79-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-1.22-2.12vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-2.41-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43University of Michigan1.700.7%1st Place
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5.62University of Chicago-1.660.0%1st Place
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4.44Northwestern University-0.960.1%1st Place
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3.18University of Minnesota-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.05University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.77Northwestern University-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.88University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Michigan-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 68.5% | 22.6% | 7.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuan Yin | 2.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 21.9% | 17.9% |
| Cuyler Dull | 5.4% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 3.9% |
| Bailey Adkins | 10.3% | 28.1% | 24.4% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Max Ellsworth | 6.0% | 14.7% | 20.1% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Emily Vogt | 2.0% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 22.5% | 21.4% |
| Kristen Ruta | 4.5% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 8.8% |
| Patrick Ryan | 0.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 21.3% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.