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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+0.42vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota-0.13+1.20vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-1.22+1.84vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-2.41+2.67vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.96-0.56vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.66-0.45vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.72-2.83vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.79-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42University of Michigan1.700.7%1st Place
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3.2University of Minnesota-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.67University of Michigan-2.410.0%1st Place
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4.44Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
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5.55University of Chicago-1.660.0%1st Place
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4.17University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.71Northwestern University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 68.9% | 23.3% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Adkins | 11.3% | 26.3% | 25.4% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Kristen Ruta | 4.5% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 8.0% |
| Patrick Ryan | 0.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 18.8% | 48.2% |
| Cuyler Dull | 4.8% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 19.0% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 3.9% |
| Chuan Yin | 2.7% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 21.2% | 17.5% |
| Max Ellsworth | 5.7% | 14.6% | 19.2% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Emily Vogt | 1.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 19.8% | 22.1% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.