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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+0.42vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.96+2.47vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.72+1.03vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-1.66+1.57vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-1.22-0.11vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.13-2.81vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.79-1.17vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-2.41-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42University of Michigan1.700.7%1st Place
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4.47Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.03University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Chicago-1.660.0%1st Place
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4.89University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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3.19University of Minnesota-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.83Northwestern University-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.61University of Michigan-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 69.3% | 21.9% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cuyler Dull | 4.5% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 19.6% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 4.4% |
| Max Ellsworth | 7.3% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Chuan Yin | 2.2% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 20.6% | 18.5% |
| Kristen Ruta | 3.1% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 14.4% | 7.9% |
| Bailey Adkins | 10.5% | 28.1% | 24.1% | 18.1% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Emily Vogt | 2.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 23.8% | 22.4% |
| Patrick Ryan | 0.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 21.8% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.