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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+0.41vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-1.66+3.63vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.13+0.19vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.96+0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.72-0.92vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.79-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-2.41-0.36vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-1.22-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.41University of Michigan1.700.7%1st Place
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5.63University of Chicago-1.660.0%1st Place
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3.19University of Minnesota-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.47Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.08University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.77Northwestern University-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Michigan-2.410.0%1st Place
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4.81University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 70.0% | 20.8% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuan Yin | 2.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 23.6% | 16.9% |
| Bailey Adkins | 11.6% | 27.1% | 24.1% | 17.6% | 11.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Cuyler Dull | 4.7% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 18.0% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| Max Ellsworth | 5.3% | 16.5% | 20.4% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 8.2% | 2.0% |
| Emily Vogt | 2.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 21.5% | 21.5% |
| Patrick Ryan | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 20.8% | 46.6% |
| Kristen Ruta | 2.5% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.