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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+0.43vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.96+2.48vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.13+0.15vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.72+0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-1.66+0.60vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.79-0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-2.41-0.34vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-1.22-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43University of Michigan1.700.7%1st Place
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4.48Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
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3.15University of Minnesota-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.11University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.6University of Chicago-1.660.0%1st Place
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5.78Northwestern University-1.790.0%1st Place
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6.66University of Michigan-2.410.0%1st Place
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4.79University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 69.5% | 20.5% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cuyler Dull | 4.2% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 3.6% |
| Bailey Adkins | 11.5% | 28.0% | 24.1% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Max Ellsworth | 6.5% | 14.8% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Chuan Yin | 2.3% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 23.8% | 15.7% |
| Emily Vogt | 1.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 20.6% | 22.5% |
| Patrick Ryan | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 46.9% |
| Kristen Ruta | 2.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.