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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+0.42vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.96+2.46vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.13+0.15vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.72+0.09vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-1.22-0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.66-0.44vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-2.41-0.31vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.79-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42University of Michigan1.700.7%1st Place
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4.46Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
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3.15University of Minnesota-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.09University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.91University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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5.56University of Chicago-1.660.0%1st Place
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6.69University of Michigan-2.410.0%1st Place
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5.72Northwestern University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 69.2% | 21.7% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cuyler Dull | 4.4% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 4.0% |
| Bailey Adkins | 11.3% | 28.2% | 23.9% | 18.1% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Max Ellsworth | 6.5% | 15.5% | 19.0% | 17.8% | 18.3% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 2.8% |
| Kristen Ruta | 3.2% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 19.7% | 14.7% | 7.3% |
| Chuan Yin | 2.5% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 20.5% | 18.0% |
| Patrick Ryan | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 20.1% | 48.7% |
| Emily Vogt | 1.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 20.1% | 22.4% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.