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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+0.42vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-1.79+3.82vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-1.22+1.82vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.13-0.78vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.96-0.56vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.72-1.96vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.66-1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-2.41-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42University of Michigan1.700.7%1st Place
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5.82Northwestern University-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.82University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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3.22University of Minnesota-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.44Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.04University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Chicago-1.660.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Michigan-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 68.9% | 22.6% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Vogt | 2.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 22.7% | 22.5% |
| Kristen Ruta | 4.5% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 6.7% |
| Bailey Adkins | 10.0% | 26.5% | 26.2% | 17.6% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Cuyler Dull | 4.5% | 11.4% | 16.8% | 19.0% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 9.7% | 4.1% |
| Max Ellsworth | 6.3% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 20.8% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| Chuan Yin | 2.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 21.2% | 18.7% |
| Patrick Ryan | 1.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 21.5% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.