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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+0.43vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.96+2.46vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-1.66+2.54vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.72+0.09vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.79+0.80vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.13-2.83vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-1.22-2.10vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-2.41-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43University of Michigan1.700.7%1st Place
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4.46Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
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5.54University of Chicago-1.660.0%1st Place
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4.09University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.8Northwestern University-1.790.0%1st Place
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3.17University of Minnesota-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Michigan-2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 68.4% | 22.8% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cuyler Dull | 4.5% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 16.5% | 10.0% | 4.6% |
| Chuan Yin | 3.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 21.1% | 18.0% |
| Max Ellsworth | 6.4% | 13.6% | 20.9% | 17.6% | 19.2% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 2.8% |
| Emily Vogt | 1.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 23.8% | 21.3% |
| Bailey Adkins | 10.4% | 28.4% | 24.1% | 19.0% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Kristen Ruta | 4.6% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 9.4% |
| Patrick Ryan | 0.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 21.9% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.