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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+0.42vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-1.66+3.62vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.96+1.42vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.79+1.82vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.72-0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.13-2.80vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-2.41-0.35vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-1.22-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42University of Michigan1.700.7%1st Place
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5.62University of Chicago-1.660.0%1st Place
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4.42Northwestern University-0.960.1%1st Place
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5.82Northwestern University-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.08University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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3.2University of Minnesota-0.130.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Michigan-2.410.0%1st Place
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4.8University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 69.3% | 21.8% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuan Yin | 2.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 19.6% | 22.8% | 16.8% |
| Cuyler Dull | 5.9% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 10.4% | 4.2% |
| Emily Vogt | 2.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 23.8% | 21.8% |
| Max Ellsworth | 5.7% | 15.1% | 20.2% | 18.7% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.1% |
| Bailey Adkins | 10.5% | 26.1% | 26.6% | 17.7% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Ryan | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 19.5% | 47.8% |
| Kristen Ruta | 2.5% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.