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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+0.42vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.96+2.47vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.13+0.14vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.72+0.07vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-1.22-0.08vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-2.41+0.63vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-1.66-1.38vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.79-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42University of Michigan1.700.7%1st Place
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4.47Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
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3.14University of Minnesota-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Michigan-2.410.0%1st Place
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5.62University of Chicago-1.660.0%1st Place
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5.72Northwestern University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 69.4% | 21.5% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cuyler Dull | 4.4% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 4.7% |
| Bailey Adkins | 11.6% | 28.1% | 23.8% | 17.8% | 11.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Max Ellsworth | 6.5% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 7.2% | 2.7% |
| Kristen Ruta | 3.3% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 18.3% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 7.8% |
| Patrick Ryan | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 46.4% |
| Chuan Yin | 2.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 22.7% | 18.6% |
| Emily Vogt | 1.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 22.9% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.