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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+0.42vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.96+2.47vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.72+1.03vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.13-0.78vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.79+0.82vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-1.22-1.15vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-2.41-0.32vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-1.66-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42University of Michigan1.700.7%1st Place
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4.47Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.03University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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3.22University of Minnesota-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.82Northwestern University-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.85University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.68University of Michigan-2.410.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Chicago-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 69.4% | 21.7% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cuyler Dull | 4.6% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 4.5% |
| Max Ellsworth | 7.1% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 2.2% |
| Bailey Adkins | 10.3% | 27.8% | 23.2% | 19.6% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Emily Vogt | 1.5% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 25.5% | 20.3% |
| Kristen Ruta | 3.9% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 14.3% | 7.9% |
| Patrick Ryan | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 19.1% | 49.1% |
| Chuan Yin | 1.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 21.8% | 19.3% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.