← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2University of Virginia3.01+2.30vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.32+3.19vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University2.82+0.72vs Predicted
-
5Columbia University2.43+0.99vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University1.35+3.35vs Predicted
-
7Monmouth University1.95+0.54vs Predicted
-
8Rochester Institute of Technology2.00-0.76vs Predicted
-
9Ocean County College1.73-0.76vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania2.68-4.85vs Predicted
-
11Stevens Institute of Technology2.02-3.63vs Predicted
-
12Queen's University1.79-3.96vs Predicted
-
13William and Mary1.27-3.14vs Predicted
-
14St. John's College1.42-4.63vs Predicted
-
17Princeton University0.21-4.73vs Predicted
-
18Colgate University-1.39-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.3University of Virginia3.010.2%1st Place
-
6.19Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
4.72Fordham University2.820.2%1st Place
-
5.99Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
-
9.35George Washington University1.350.0%1st Place
-
7.54Monmouth University1.950.1%1st Place
-
7.24Rochester Institute of Technology2.000.1%1st Place
-
8.24Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
-
5.15University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
-
7.37Stevens Institute of Technology2.020.1%1st Place
-
8.04Queen's University1.790.0%1st Place
-
9.86William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
-
9.37St. John's College1.420.0%1st Place
-
12.27Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
-
14.37Colgate University-1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stessing | 17.2% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Blair Davis | 7.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Graham Gardner | 15.5% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gardner | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 1.5% |
| Paul Stevens | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Nick Troche | 7.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Schippe | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Michael Russom | 10.8% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Christian Geary | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Charles Legge | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Jonathan Conway | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 1.2% |
| Evgenia Olimpieva | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Werner | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 39.2% | 13.5% |
| Sara Winkelman | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 9.6% | 79.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.