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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12+1.60vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University-0.85+1.47vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.16-0.43vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.36-1.12vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-2.76+0.52vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.19-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.3%1st Place
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3.47Monmouth University-0.850.1%1st Place
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2.57Drexel University-0.160.3%1st Place
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2.88Webb Institute-0.360.2%1st Place
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5.52Rutgers University-2.760.0%1st Place
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3.96University of Delaware-1.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Parsons | 27.1% | 24.8% | 20.9% | 17.5% | 8.1% | 1.6% |
| Katherine Foley | 13.6% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 22.3% | 25.0% | 6.2% |
| Haley Clemson | 28.0% | 24.0% | 21.9% | 16.4% | 8.2% | 1.5% |
| Alec Bidwell | 21.3% | 20.7% | 23.5% | 20.0% | 12.3% | 2.2% |
| Declan McNamara | 1.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 77.6% |
| Morgan Kelly | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 18.9% | 36.9% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.