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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University-0.85+2.51vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12+0.51vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.36-0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.19-0.08vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.16-2.27vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-2.76-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Monmouth University-0.850.1%1st Place
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2.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.3%1st Place
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2.79Webb Institute-0.360.2%1st Place
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3.92University of Delaware-1.190.1%1st Place
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2.73Drexel University-0.160.3%1st Place
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5.53Rutgers University-2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Foley | 12.1% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 22.4% | 23.7% | 7.3% |
| Samuel Parsons | 29.8% | 24.9% | 20.7% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 1.2% |
| Alec Bidwell | 22.6% | 22.1% | 23.1% | 19.6% | 10.8% | 1.8% |
| Morgan Kelly | 8.9% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 22.5% | 33.2% | 10.4% |
| Haley Clemson | 25.1% | 24.2% | 20.5% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 2.6% |
| Declan McNamara | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 11.3% | 76.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.