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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute0.81+0.88vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University-0.85+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.19+1.09vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-1.21vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.16-2.01vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-2.76-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88Webb Institute0.810.5%1st Place
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3.67Monmouth University-0.850.1%1st Place
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4.09University of Delaware-1.190.1%1st Place
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2.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.2%1st Place
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2.99Drexel University-0.160.2%1st Place
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5.58Rutgers University-2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Hunt | 47.5% | 28.5% | 14.9% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Foley | 8.4% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 26.0% | 25.5% | 7.0% |
| Morgan Kelly | 7.8% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 19.2% | 40.0% | 11.2% |
| Samuel Parsons | 19.8% | 23.5% | 26.3% | 20.4% | 8.7% | 1.3% |
| Haley Clemson | 15.5% | 24.3% | 23.3% | 22.4% | 11.3% | 3.2% |
| Declan McNamara | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 12.8% | 77.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.