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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+7.03vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+5.17vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.90+3.98vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.75+7.02vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+0.19vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.58+2.02vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.43vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.50+4.00vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.00vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14-0.04vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.20-5.14vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.05-5.44vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.49-4.78vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California1.75-3.14vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.86-4.25vs Predicted
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16University of Texas0.14-0.24vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.51-4.84vs Predicted
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18University of Notre Dame-0.04-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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7.17Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.98Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.02Western Washington University1.750.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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8.02George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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12.0Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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9.96Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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5.86Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.56Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.22Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.86University of Southern California1.750.0%1st Place
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10.75Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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15.76University of Texas0.140.0%1st Place
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12.16University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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16.03University of Notre Dame-0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Dawson | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 16.2% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Alexander | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Paula Resto | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Emily Verdoia | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 27.2% | 36.7% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 4.9% |
| Chloe Frentzel | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 25.1% | 46.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.