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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+7.04vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+3.91vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+3.37vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+1.17vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.84+2.00vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.45vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.75+4.21vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.90-1.29vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58-1.05vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14-0.05vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-1.83vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.86-0.93vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.49-4.85vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.51-2.27vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.50-2.96vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.75-4.77vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame-0.04-0.79vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.14-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.91Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.37Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.17University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.0Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.21University of Southern California1.750.0%1st Place
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6.71Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.95George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.95Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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11.07Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.15Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.73University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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12.04Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.23Western Washington University1.750.0%1st Place
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16.21University of Notre Dame-0.040.0%1st Place
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15.63University of Texas0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.8% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Alexander | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Julia Lambert | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Ungar | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Paula Resto | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Charlotte List | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.7% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 2.6% |
| Chloe Dawson | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Chloe Frentzel | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 23.0% | 49.6% |
| Emily Verdoia | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 28.0% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.