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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+8.26vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+4.43vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.51+9.26vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.49+4.27vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+0.76vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37-0.79vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.84vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.84-1.10vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.65vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58-1.78vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.90-4.07vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.14-1.94vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.50-1.13vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University1.75-3.15vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California1.75-3.90vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.86-5.17vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.14-1.14vs Predicted
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18University of Notre Dame-0.04-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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6.43Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.26University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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8.27Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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5.76Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.9Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.22George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.93Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.06Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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11.87Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.85Western Washington University1.750.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Southern California1.750.0%1st Place
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10.83Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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15.86University of Texas0.140.0%1st Place
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16.0University of Notre Dame-0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Ungar | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| Charlotte List | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 13.1% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 3.2% |
| Chloe Dawson | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Alexander | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Paula Resto | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Emily Verdoia | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 25.8% | 41.0% |
| Chloe Frentzel | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 25.8% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.