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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+6.73vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.58+6.22vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+3.36vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+1.16vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+0.71vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.49+2.27vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.75+4.21vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.14+1.57vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.30vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University1.75+1.40vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.90-4.05vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.50+0.33vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.84-6.08vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.51-2.28vs Predicted
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15University of Texas0.14+0.77vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-6.92vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.86-6.11vs Predicted
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18University of Notre Dame-0.04-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.22George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.36Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.71Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.27Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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11.21University of Southern California1.750.0%1st Place
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9.57Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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7.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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11.4Western Washington University1.750.0%1st Place
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6.95Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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12.33Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.92Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.72University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
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15.77University of Texas0.140.0%1st Place
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9.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
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10.89Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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15.99University of Notre Dame-0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.4% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 13.1% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Alexander | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Dawson | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Julia Lambert | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 4.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.4% |
| Emily Verdoia | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 25.5% | 38.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Paula Resto | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Chloe Frentzel | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 24.3% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.