← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.37+4.43vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.20+3.90vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College1.50+9.30vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.40vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.49+3.23vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.05+0.28vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin1.51+5.01vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University2.90-1.31vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California1.75+2.15vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.84-2.82vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University1.75+0.22vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University2.58-3.65vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-5.32vs Predicted
-
14Jacksonville University1.86-3.59vs Predicted
-
15University of Texas0.14+0.81vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-6.88vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University2.14-7.18vs Predicted
-
18University of Notre Dame-0.04-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.43University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
5.9Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
12.3Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
-
7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
8.23Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
-
6.28Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
12.01University of Wisconsin1.510.0%1st Place
-
6.69Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
-
11.15University of Southern California1.750.0%1st Place
-
7.18Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
11.22Western Washington University1.750.0%1st Place
-
8.35George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
-
7.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
-
10.41Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
-
15.81University of Texas0.140.0%1st Place
-
9.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.0%1st Place
-
9.82Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
-
16.01University of Notre Dame-0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 13.2% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 4.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 2.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
| Julia Lambert | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Dawson | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Paula Resto | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Emily Verdoia | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 27.9% | 37.7% |
| Ellie Ungar | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Chloe Frentzel | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 22.3% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.