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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.23vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+6.67vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.50+5.03vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.24vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+0.01vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.63+1.33vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.18-1.47vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76-1.14vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.96+0.78vs Predicted
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10University of Texas-1.12+7.16vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-1.62vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.77-1.21vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.56-1.92vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-5.90vs Predicted
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15University of Notre Dame0.37-0.28vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.46-1.42vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.51-5.41vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.30-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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8.03Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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5.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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5.01Boston University3.350.2%1st Place
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7.33Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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5.53Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.86George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.78University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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17.16University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
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9.38St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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10.79Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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8.1University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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14.72University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
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14.58Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
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11.59Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.94Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 12.5% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 15.2% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Gabriella Wong | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 73.1% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 0.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 18.9% | 30.4% | 11.6% |
| Marijke Jorna | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 27.0% | 11.4% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 1.1% |
| Shaynah True | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.