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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+6.01vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+6.69vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+2.47vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+1.05vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+3.29vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.63+1.45vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.77+3.53vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.56+3.13vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+0.18vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50-1.92vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.30+1.21vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.35-6.70vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California1.96-3.39vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.18-8.68vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.51-3.68vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.46-1.47vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame0.37-2.19vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.12-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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5.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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5.05Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.45Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.53Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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9.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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8.08Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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12.21Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.3Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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5.32Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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11.32Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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14.53Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
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14.81University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
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17.02University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.5% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Jessica Bennett | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shaynah True | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 2.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.7% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Marijke Jorna | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 19.3% | 26.3% | 11.1% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 18.8% | 30.6% | 12.2% |
| Gabriella Wong | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 13.4% | 70.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.