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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+3.35vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+3.38vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+2.63vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.54vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.63+2.52vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.35-0.78vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11+2.46vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.91+2.12vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.76-1.93vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.56+1.59vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.30+1.34vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.96-1.77vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-4.61vs Predicted
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14University of Texas-1.12+3.10vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.77-4.39vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.50-7.93vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.46-2.29vs Predicted
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18University of Notre Dame0.37-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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5.38Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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7.52Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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5.22Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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10.12Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.07George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.59University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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12.34Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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10.23University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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17.1University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
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10.61Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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8.07Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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14.71Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
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14.68University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 17.6% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.8% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Riley Legault | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 0.8% |
| Shaynah True | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 2.2% |
| Grace Yakutis | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gabriella Wong | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 11.8% | 71.6% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Marijke Jorna | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 18.0% | 29.7% | 11.9% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 12.1% | 19.2% | 28.0% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.