Race 1B

gavin

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jillian Giordano 2.9% 9.7% 12.0% 12.3% 14.1% 13.2% 12.7% 10.9% 9.7% 2.5%
Nick Myneni 71.0% 20.9% 5.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
George Prokop 2.4% 6.7% 8.3% 10.7% 11.5% 14.1% 15.0% 13.9% 12.8% 4.7%
Hannah Monville 3.1% 9.3% 10.4% 12.8% 15.0% 15.2% 12.3% 11.7% 7.6% 2.5%
Nathaniel Bacheller 2.6% 7.2% 10.2% 11.0% 13.1% 13.4% 13.5% 14.2% 10.5% 4.2%
Kate Sorbie 8.0% 21.1% 21.2% 18.8% 13.0% 9.4% 4.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Alex Schlotterer 1.3% 3.4% 5.3% 6.2% 7.5% 9.7% 12.9% 16.6% 22.9% 14.2%
Leo Barch 1.9% 4.0% 5.9% 7.5% 8.4% 10.9% 14.5% 16.7% 19.1% 10.9%
Astrid Myhre 6.4% 16.2% 18.6% 17.0% 14.3% 11.5% 8.8% 5.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Adam Bryan 0.5% 1.4% 1.9% 2.1% 2.7% 2.5% 5.4% 7.6% 15.2% 60.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.