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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.49+5.17vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.56+7.73vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.03+8.89vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.81+4.71vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.29+9.86vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.36+4.35vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges5.05-2.63vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.50+2.15vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida4.17-1.88vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.85+2.48vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.74-5.86vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.37vs Predicted
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13Harvard University4.50-7.12vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.07-2.22vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.37-4.63vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.78-7.33vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.64-3.65vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.26-7.15vs Predicted
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19University of Washington1.80-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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9.73Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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11.89Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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14.86Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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10.35Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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4.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges5.050.2%1st Place
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10.15University of Miami3.500.0%1st Place
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7.12University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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12.48University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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5.14Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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12.37U. S. Naval Academy2.990.0%1st Place
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5.88Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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11.78Stanford University3.070.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Vermont3.370.0%1st Place
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8.67College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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13.35Yale University2.640.0%1st Place
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10.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.260.0%1st Place
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15.75University of Washington1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Strammer | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Collin Leon | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Andrew Criezis | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 21.8% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| John Booth | 17.5% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Weiksnar | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Zachary Marks | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Chris Barnard | 13.1% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 4.4% |
| Tedd Himler | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Riihiluoma | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
| Pete Hazelett | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Erik Bowers | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| John Vrolyk | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 10.9% |
| Gordon Lamphere | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| William Wilder | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.