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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+4.36vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.96+8.24vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+2.57vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.76+3.02vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.77+5.59vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+2.58vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.33-1.76vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.91+2.10vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.63-1.51vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-0.32vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-2.25vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.72-7.66vs Predicted
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13University of Texas-1.12+4.10vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.56-2.84vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University0.46-0.40vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.30-3.63vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.50-8.85vs Predicted
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18University of Notre Dame0.37-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.24University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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5.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.02George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.59Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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5.24Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.1Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.49Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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8.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.34Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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17.1University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
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11.16University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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14.6Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
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12.37Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.15Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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14.66University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Emily Haig | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 18.9% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriella Wong | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 5.6% | 13.5% | 71.1% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 0.8% |
| Marijke Jorna | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 19.4% | 27.7% | 10.9% |
| Shaynah True | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 3.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 18.2% | 28.9% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.