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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.21vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+6.65vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+2.11vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.22vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.18+0.43vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+2.36vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.91+2.96vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.30+4.03vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.62-1.67vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-0.58vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.56+0.29vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.77-1.20vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-3.51vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.76-7.35vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California1.96-5.29vs Predicted
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16University of Notre Dame0.37-1.25vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.46-2.42vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.12-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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5.11Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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5.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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5.43Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.36University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.96Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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12.03Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.33Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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10.8Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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9.49Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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6.65George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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14.75University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
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14.58Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
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17.02University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 13.1% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 13.3% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Shaynah True | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 1.7% |
| Stephanie Houck | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Keck | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Riley Legault | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 18.7% | 29.7% | 12.5% |
| Marijke Jorna | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 18.7% | 28.1% | 11.2% |
| Gabriella Wong | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 13.5% | 71.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.