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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.33vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+6.76vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+2.53vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.62+3.37vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+1.97vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.18-0.39vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35-1.96vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36+0.37vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.96+0.85vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.91+0.26vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.50-2.95vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.77-1.05vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.30-0.97vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-4.93vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.56-3.68vs Predicted
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16University of Notre Dame0.37-1.14vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.46-2.39vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.12-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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5.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.37Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.97George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.61Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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5.04Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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10.26Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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8.05Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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10.95Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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12.03Jacksonville University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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11.32University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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14.86University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
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14.61Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
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17.03University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Haig | 11.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Houck | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 13.9% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grace Yakutis | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hana Zwick | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Shaynah True | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 8.0% | 2.3% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Keck | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 31.0% | 12.7% |
| Marijke Jorna | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 19.4% | 27.0% | 11.5% |
| Gabriella Wong | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 15.1% | 70.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.