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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.50+7.21vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+3.58vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.63+4.70vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+0.10vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+0.19vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.59vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76+0.05vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.91+2.03vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.96+0.90vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-0.40vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-2.36vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame0.37+2.92vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.77-2.51vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.56-2.98vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.93-1.73vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.35-10.77vs Predicted
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17University of Texas-1.12+0.15vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University0.46-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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5.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.7Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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4.1Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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5.19Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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7.05George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.03Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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9.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.0%1st Place
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8.64University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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14.92University of Notre Dame0.370.0%1st Place
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10.49Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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11.02University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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13.27Jacksonville University0.930.0%1st Place
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5.23Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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17.15University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
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14.34Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Haig | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 19.1% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.3% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Grace Yakutis | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jessica Bennett | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 31.4% | 12.6% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Keck | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Kelsy Waack | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 3.9% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriella Wong | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 13.0% | 72.7% |
| Marijke Jorna | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 20.3% | 25.1% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.