← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.37+4.60vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.77+5.71vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University1.16+10.73vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.75+3.57vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.18vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.04+4.39vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University2.76+0.60vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan1.32+4.89vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida2.73-1.38vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.14+0.21vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-1.53vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.23-2.00vs Predicted
-
13Boston College3.20-7.07vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College2.99-7.49vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania2.22-5.36vs Predicted
-
16University of Washington1.07-2.16vs Predicted
-
17University of Hawaii1.74-5.37vs Predicted
-
18University of Minnesota0.39-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.6College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.71Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
-
13.73Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
-
7.57Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
5.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.2%1st Place
-
10.39Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
-
7.6Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
12.89University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
-
7.62University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
-
10.21U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
-
9.47University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
-
10.0Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
5.93Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
6.51Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
9.64University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
-
13.84University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
-
11.63University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
-
15.48University of Minnesota0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 11.0% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mary Berg | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 16.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 15.7% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 10.7% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Simone Staff | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Laura Smit | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 17.7% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 4.6% |
| Cailin Oakes | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.