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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.76+6.79vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+3.54vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+3.88vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+3.49vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+1.00vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.22+3.68vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.73+0.66vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.23+1.54vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04+1.37vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.77-2.21vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-1.47vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.14-1.67vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.16+0.40vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota0.39+1.44vs Predicted
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15University of Washington1.07-1.23vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.74-4.36vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.32-3.85vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-12.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.79Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.54College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.0Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.68University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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7.66University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.37Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.79Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.53University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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10.33U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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13.4Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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15.44University of Minnesota0.390.0%1st Place
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13.77University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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11.64University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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13.15University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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5.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.7% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Streater | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Grace Howie | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Gabby Rizika | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Simone Staff | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Mary Berg | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 14.8% |
| Cailin Oakes | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 42.3% |
| Laura Smit | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 19.3% | 16.2% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 5.7% |
| Allison Marozza | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 11.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.6% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.