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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+4.69vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+5.94vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+3.89vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.76+3.48vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.22+4.58vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.14+4.06vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77+0.54vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.92vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-3.09vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-0.35vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-3.22vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.74-0.18vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.32-0.16vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.23-4.63vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.04-4.62vs Predicted
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16University of Washington1.07-2.11vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.16-3.41vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota0.39-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.94University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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6.89Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.48Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.58University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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10.06U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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7.54Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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5.91Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.1%1st Place
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7.78Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.82University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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12.84University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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9.37Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.38Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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13.89University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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13.59Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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15.5University of Minnesota0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Emma White | 8.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 14.6% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 5.1% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 10.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Grace Howie | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Laura Smit | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 17.7% |
| Mary Berg | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 16.1% |
| Cailin Oakes | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 18.5% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.