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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.74+10.65vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.22+7.88vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+4.84vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.07+9.57vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+0.43vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.16+7.54vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.32+5.95vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76-0.49vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.86vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.23-0.09vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-1.45vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.20-5.69vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.14-3.13vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.99-7.44vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.77-7.48vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota0.39-0.39vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.04-6.38vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.73-10.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.65University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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7.84Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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13.57University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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5.43College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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13.54Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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7.51Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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6.31Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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6.56Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.52Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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15.61University of Minnesota0.390.0%1st Place
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10.62Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.55University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smit | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 15.8% |
| Alie Toppa | 13.1% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Berg | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 15.6% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 9.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Simone Staff | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Emma White | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Cailin Oakes | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 17.9% | 44.2% |
| Grace Howie | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.