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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.42vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+3.56vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.73+4.87vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.99+2.68vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+2.56vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76+1.58vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.23+2.59vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.22+1.58vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-3.11vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.77-2.18vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-1.46vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.04-1.32vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.32-0.17vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.07-0.47vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota0.39+0.64vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.74-4.34vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.14-6.84vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.16-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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5.56College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.87University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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6.68Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.56Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.58Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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5.89Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.82Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.54University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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10.68Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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12.83University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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13.53University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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15.64University of Minnesota0.390.0%1st Place
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11.66University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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13.42Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 12.4% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma White | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Grace Howie | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Allison Marozza | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 11.3% |
| Laura Smit | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 16.3% |
| Cailin Oakes | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 17.2% | 44.8% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 4.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Mary Berg | 2.0% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.