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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.40vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+5.81vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+3.13vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.73+3.60vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.04+5.29vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.16+7.59vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37-1.59vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.99-1.31vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.23+0.66vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.76-2.15vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.22-1.23vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.74-0.15vs Predicted
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13University of Washington1.07+0.59vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.77-6.69vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.32-2.02vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-6.52vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.14-6.90vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota0.39-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.13Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.6University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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10.29Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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13.59Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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5.41College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.69Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.85Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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11.85University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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13.59University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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7.31Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.98University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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9.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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15.5University of Minnesota0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Grace Howie | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Mary Berg | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 16.8% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 5.7% |
| Laura Smit | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 15.8% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Allison Marozza | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 11.0% |
| Simone Staff | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Cailin Oakes | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 18.5% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.