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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.39vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+3.56vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.76+4.82vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.22+5.53vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.99+1.71vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+1.63vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77+0.54vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04+2.37vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+0.35vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.73-2.07vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.20-4.89vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.32+1.26vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.23-3.46vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.16-0.72vs Predicted
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15University of Washington1.07-1.25vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.74-4.33vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota0.39-1.33vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.14-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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5.56College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.82Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.53University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.63Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.54Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.37Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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7.93University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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6.11Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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13.26University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.28Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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13.75University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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11.67University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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15.67University of Minnesota0.390.0%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 12.8% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Emma White | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Grace Howie | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Simone Staff | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Allison Marozza | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 12.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Mary Berg | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 13.0% |
| Laura Smit | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 16.5% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| Cailin Oakes | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 18.4% | 44.9% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.