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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.34vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+5.92vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+3.16vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+3.52vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.14+4.95vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37-0.56vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99-0.31vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.22+1.56vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.74+2.54vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.76-2.18vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.32+2.10vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-2.27vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.23-3.51vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota0.39+1.44vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.77-7.53vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.04-5.49vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.16-3.28vs Predicted
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18University of Washington1.07-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.92University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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6.16Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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5.44College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.69Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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7.82Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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13.1University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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9.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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15.44University of Minnesota0.390.0%1st Place
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7.47Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.51Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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13.72Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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13.62University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 12.8% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.1% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 13.1% |
| Simone Staff | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Molly Pleskus | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Cailin Oakes | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 43.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Grace Howie | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Mary Berg | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 19.0% | 16.8% |
| Laura Smit | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.