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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+6.80vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+5.95vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.22+6.87vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.99+2.67vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.14+4.91vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+1.61vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.81vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+1.32vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76-1.48vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.20-3.83vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.23-1.19vs Predicted
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12University of Washington1.07+2.03vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.37-7.60vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.74-2.81vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.04-4.67vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.16-2.38vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan1.32-3.85vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota0.39-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.95University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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6.67Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.32University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.0%1st Place
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7.52Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.17Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.81Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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14.03University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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5.4College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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11.19University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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10.33Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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13.62Tulane University1.160.0%1st Place
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13.15University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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15.48University of Minnesota0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Emma White | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.2% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Laura Smit | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 19.6% | 19.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| Grace Howie | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Mary Berg | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 15.6% |
| Allison Marozza | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 10.7% |
| Cailin Oakes | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 19.4% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.