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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+4.38vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+3.46vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.50+4.53vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.50+3.25vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.16+3.52vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.40+1.78vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44+0.55vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+2.30vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.73+1.15vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.06-4.38vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-2.96vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.56-4.56vs Predicted
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13Tulane University0.48+1.04vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.19-5.82vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota-0.13+0.62vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.25-4.05vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-0.16-1.31vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.28-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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5.46College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.25Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.52University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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7.78Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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10.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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10.15Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.62Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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14.04Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
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8.18Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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15.62University of Minnesota-0.130.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
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15.69University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.49University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Talia Toland | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Kraus | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Brittney Slook | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Catie Cullen | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 13.8% |
| Lola Bushnell | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Adkins | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 23.7% | 31.9% |
| Annika Garrett | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 2.4% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 14.9% | 22.4% | 34.7% |
| Sarah Youtt | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 20.6% | 18.7% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.