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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+4.33vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.44+5.76vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+5.14vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+1.32vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.16+10.54vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.16+2.59vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.06-1.60vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.50-0.70vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.40-1.32vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.28+4.78vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.50-3.59vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.56-4.56vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-2.73vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota-0.13+1.35vs Predicted
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15Tulane University0.48-0.89vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.25-4.03vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.73-6.67vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.19-9.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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5.32College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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15.54University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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8.59University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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5.4Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.3Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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14.78University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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10.27University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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15.35University of Minnesota-0.130.0%1st Place
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14.11Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
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11.97University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
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10.33Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.28Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 12.9% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Paris Henken | 13.4% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 20.8% | 35.4% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Youtt | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 23.3% | 19.1% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Bailey Adkins | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 20.5% | 29.6% |
| Catie Cullen | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 18.6% | 19.2% | 11.4% |
| Annika Garrett | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 2.2% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Lola Bushnell | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.