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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+9.54vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+3.51vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+2.28vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50+3.23vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.56+2.04vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.40+1.77vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44+0.53vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.50-0.65vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.06-3.62vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.19-1.28vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.16-2.29vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.73-1.54vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.23vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-0.16+1.48vs Predicted
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15Tulane University0.48-0.85vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.25-4.05vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota-0.13-1.37vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.28-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.54University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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5.51College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.28Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.23Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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7.35Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.38Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.72Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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8.71University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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10.46Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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15.48University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.15Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
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15.63University of Minnesota-0.130.0%1st Place
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14.49University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kraus | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Paris Henken | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 12.2% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 22.8% | 31.0% |
| Catie Cullen | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 12.6% |
| Annika Garrett | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 2.8% |
| Bailey Adkins | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 23.2% | 34.2% |
| Sarah Youtt | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 19.4% | 19.0% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.