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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+4.55vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+6.11vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.40+4.90vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+6.17vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50+2.28vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.15-0.91vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.56+0.05vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.53vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.06-3.64vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.16-1.21vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.04-1.89vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.73-1.58vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.25-1.41vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.50-6.83vs Predicted
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15University of Washington-0.16+0.65vs Predicted
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16Tulane University0.48-1.80vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota-0.13-1.40vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.28-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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7.28Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.09Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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5.36Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.79University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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9.11Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.42Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
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7.17Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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15.65University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.2Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
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15.6University of Minnesota-0.130.0%1st Place
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14.5University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Talia Toland | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Kraus | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 13.1% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Macey McCann | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Annika Garrett | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Daisy Holthus | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 14.6% | 22.6% | 33.8% |
| Catie Cullen | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 13.4% |
| Bailey Adkins | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 24.0% | 32.7% |
| Sarah Youtt | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 19.3% | 20.4% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.